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Agile & ScrumProject Management

Software Estimation Techniques: From Story Points to Monte Carlo Simulation

Martin FowlerClassic Articles10 min readMarch 7, 2013
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Summary

Surveys estimation techniques used in software projects, from planning poker and story points to probabilistic methods like Monte Carlo simulation. Fowler argues that the goal of estimation is not precision but enabling better decisions about scope, schedule, and resource allocation.

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